Saturday, April 25, 2020

COVID-19 Demographics

This is the second of a two part series. Yesterday offered a wide angle, big picture view of how the pandemic has impacted the US economy. Today will zoom in to look at demographic differences and trends. 



CDC Analysis of Demographic Characteristics of COVID-19 Cases in the US

Data snapshot as of April 23, 2020
Number of of cases (% of total)
Age group (years)
< 18
18-44
45-64
65-74
75+
Unknown*
Total
Among those with race specified
American Indian or Alaska Native
37
(1.0 %)
564
(0.7 %)
495
(0.5 %)
142
(0.4 %)
103
(0.2 %)
84
(0.4 %)
1,425
(0.5 %)
Asian
175
(4.5 %)
4,641
(5.5 %)
5,137
(5.4 %)
1,597
(4.6 %)
1,728
(3.8 %)
920
(4.7 %)
14,198
(5.0 %)
Black or African American
958
(24.8 %)
23,922
(28.5 %)
30,907
(32.3 %)
11,353
(32.9 %)
10,618
(23.5 %)
7,297
(37.0 %)
85,055
(30.1 %)
Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander
14
(0.4 %)
320
(0.4 %)
271
(0.3 %)
87
(0.3 %)
61
(0.1 %)
47
(0.2 %)
800
(0.3 %)
White
2,018
(52.2 %)
41,971
(50.0 %)
46,602
(48.7 %)
17,916
(52.0 %)
29,166
(64.6 %)
7,697
(39.0 %)
145,370
(51.4 %)
Multiple/other
666
(17.2 %)
12,600
(15.0 %)
12,304
(12.9 %)
3,391
(9.8 %)
3,484
(7.7 %)
3,670
(18.6 %)
36,115
(12.8 %)
Among those with ethnicity specified
Hispanic/Latino
1,338
(38.1 %)
21,782
(29.7 %)
19,602
(24.2 %)
4,896
(17.5 %)
4,568
(13.1 %)
5,056
(29.1 %)
57,242
(24.0 %)
Non-Hispanic/Latino
2,177
(61.9 %)
51,562
(70.3 %)
61,492
(75.8 %)
23,076
(82.5 %)
30,334
(86.9 %)
12,329
(70.9 %)
180,970
(76.0 %)
Totals
12,791
(2%)
236,469
(35.2%)
239,190
(35.6%)
69,253
(10.3%)
79,990
(11.9%)
33,792*
(5%)
671,485
(100%)
Race missing/unspecified*
8,923
(69.8 %)
152,451
(64.5 %)
143,474
(60.0 %)
34,767
(50.2 %)
34,830
(43.5 %)
14,077
(41.7 %)
388,522
(57.9 %)
Race specified
3,868
(30.2 %)
84,018
(35.5 %)
95,716
(40.0 %)
34,486
(49.8 %)
45,160
(56.5 %)
19,715
(58.3 %)
282,963
(42.1 %)
Ethnicity missing/unspecified*
9,276
(72.5 %)
163,125
(69.0 %)
158,096
(66.1 %)
41,281
(59.6 %)
45,088
(56.4 %)
16,407
(48.6 %)
433,273
(64.5 %)
Ethnicity specified
3,515
(27.5 %)
73,344
(31.0 %)
81,094
(33.9 %)
27,972
(40.4 %)
34,902
(43.6 %)
17,385
(51.4 %)
238,212
(35.5 %)





*The amount of unknown, missing or unspecified information in the US CDC data set is unfortunate. Currently 42% of race, 49% of ethnicity, and 5% of age data is unconfirmed. If these data inconsistencies can be corrected then hopefully more accurate and useful data analysis will become available.

Age
While 2% of US cases involve patients under the age of 18, roughly 35% are between 18 and 44 with another 36% between 45 and 64. Only 22% of cases impact people age 65 and older though CDC provisional death counts show 80% of older patients die

Ethnicity and Race
Preliminary CDC data analysis indicates people of color (non-whites) are disproportionately impacted by the pandemic. News reports of racial disparity include the following:

Gender and Sex
Forbes noted that one common denominator among countries with better responses to the coronavirus crisis is female leadership. A friend recently lamented that the pandemic has been especially bad for men since they are losing $1 for every 79 cents women lose in the US economy. All jokes aside, men may be twice as likely as women to die from coronavirus. And a CDC study indicated coronavirus is more prevalent in young boys than young girls. The reasons are not clear though scientists continue to study these trends.

Vulnerable Populations
Older adults and people of any age who have serious underlying medical conditions are at high risk for severe illness from COVID-19. People living or working in nursing homes are especially vulnerable due to supply shortages, lapses in care, a lack of transparency and inadequate infection control precautions.

Veterans are particularly vulnerable due to 8 risk factors. The number of cases and deaths within the Veterans Affairs health system continues to rise. Veterans homes in 16 states have been hit especially hard despite nearly $20 billion in coronavirus relief funding specifically for veterans programs.

Inmates and prison workers are also at risk for higher rates of infection and death. The Federal Bureau of Prisons and the Marshall Project track the spread of coronavirus in prisons while federal authorities monitor and adjust guidance for the early release or home confinement of some inmates. Related news stories include:
  • Advocates for the incarcerated are hopeful temporary changes might lead to reforms.
  • FL man released from prison due to coronavirus threat arrested for murder.
  • Former inmate with essential job gave his stimulus check to someone else.
  • MI inmate died weeks before scheduled release.
  • Prisons and jails across America are turning into coronavirus Petri dishes.
  • US Supreme court requires unanimous jury for serious crimes in both federal and state courts, a move that appears to please both sides of the political divide.


USAFacts.org provides additional statistical analyses including national spending on healthcare services, top causes of death in the US, and various economic impacts.


In the spirit of spreading happy, positive, and/or silly vibes:

Daily pandemic update:  
For the 10th day in a row, China reported no new deaths with all but one of its new cases imported. The total death toll in the United States passed 50,000 amid more than 880,000 reported cases. Spain's daily virus toll rose slightly with 378 fatalities, taking the country's total deaths to 22,902 amid 223,759 infections. Qatar recorded its largest daily increase with 761 new reported cases; a total of 8,525 cases have been reported in the country with 10 deaths. 

The UN and world leaders launched a new push to accelerate work on tests, drugs and vaccines for COVID-19. Meanwhile, testing of an experimental vaccine began on healthy volunteers at University of Oxford in Britain, the latest in a cluster of early-stage studies in search of protection against the coronavirus.  Aljazeera.com timeline

25 Apr 2020
Cases
Deaths
Recovered
14:58 GMT*
Yesterday
Today
Yesterday
Today
Yesterday
Today
World
2,734,102
2,863,073
191,189
199,486
751,408
816,003
US
886,709
928,370
50,243
52,359
85,922
110,490
NY
271,162
277,165
20,982
21,368
30,817
30,817
CT
23,100
23,100
1,639
1,639
63
63
NC
7,822
8,204
281
290
1,302
1,302

*Documenting time of day because real time data updates continuously. 
Tracking specific states:  NY is US epicenter, son Reid lives in CT, and I live in NC. 
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/     https://www.coronainusa.com/   

A moment of silence for those we’ve lost to coronavirus, including the first 100 in the US.


In the news:  


Following Kenny Beck’s lead to share a few signs of hope:
  • Team Rubicon mobilizes veterans and first responders to serve vulnerable neighbors in response to the coronavirus outbreak. 
  • TX doctor is living in kids’ tree house during quarantine from family.
  • While Steph Curry home schools his kids, his Eat Learn Play foundation provides more than 1 million meals to kids in Oakland, CA.


In my personal life…
The Greensboro Children’s Museum incrEDIBLE Plant Sale is this weekend with curbside service due to COVID-19. Yesterday I searched online to pre-order a few plants but most everything was already sold out. I need/want some lettuce and marigolds. Considering ordering seeds online, or perhaps leaving the house to purchase seed packets and/or plants locally.

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